2020年5月5日星期二

Covid-19 Origin and Path

Origin and footprint of Covid-19 most likely the following:

the virus jumped into humans sometime in August 2019 or earlier along the West Coast, in a less virulent strain form A. Patients were mixed up into vaping or flu cases, and detection for the virus was missed.
Unsuspected carriers from California and/or Washignton State went on to Europe and Asia in long distance flights, which were perfect incubation environments for the virus.
Then the virus reached Europe, undetected, and without much mutation.
When it reached Wuhan, with a long incubation period in the airplane and drastic climate difference upon arrival, the virus mutated into a more virulent strain form B, around mid December, and was detected end December.
When the virus reached Singapore and Guangzhou, which shared similar climate, it mutated into another strain form C, form B's sister strain. The case in Guangzhou did not spread. Unforunately a super carrier from Singapore went back to Europe and mixed with a lot people in a Swiss Apls resort,  where hot baths, saunas and bars were perfect platforms for the virus to spread. From there the virus went into Italy, Spain and most Europe.  Then quickly and gingerly the virus hopped from Italy and Europe to New York, Russia, Africa and Asia (most Taiwan cases and most likely Indian cases), resulting in a second wave in some places, such as the U.S. and Singapore. That is why I believe the virus may fade away from now on and will not reappear in the northern hemisphere until next fall or winter. If Trump is lucky and makes fewer mistakes from now on, he may get reelected in November.

The above theory on the origin and path of Covid-19 can be easily proved or disapproved if U.S. conducted testing for all samples collected from pneumonia patients before January this year.

April 21: Two coronavirus-infected people died in Santa Clara County on Feb. 6 and Feb. 17, the medical examiner revealed Tuesday, making them first documented COVID-19 fatalities in the United States, which means the virus has been in Santa Clara much longer, before January. They had no known travel history or contacts with known Covid19 patients, had been thought to be flu deaths as they did not fit the CDC criteria and never got tested until the autopsies.
May 3: Yves Cohen, head of intensive care at the Avicenne hospital in Paris, repeated tests on samples from 24 patients admitted to the hospital for pneumonia in December and January, and that one from December 27 was positive. The patient, a 43-year-old Amirouche Hammar, had not travelled to China.  “He was sick for 15 days and infected his two children, but not his wife, who works in a supermarket,” he said. “He was amazed. He didn’t understand how he had been infected. We put the puzzle together and he had not made any trips. The only contact that he had was with his wife.” Cohen initially questioned whether the wife had been exposed to fish products from China, but later confirmed that she had only been exposed to fish produced in France. This means the virus was in Paris at least on December 5 or earlier.
May 5: a major claim few days ago, but not picked up by the major media outlets yet. Mayor Michael Melham of Belleville, N.J., claims that he contracted the coronavirus in November, two months before the first confirmed U.S. case in Washington State. He recounted becoming ill while in Atlantic City attending the New Jersey League of Municipalities Conference, which was from Nov 17 to 19. He returned home on Nov 21, which means he was in Atlantic City for at least 5 days, and contracted the virus there. "The antibody in my blood is older as opposed to the more recent one showing you just finished fighting it off," Melham said. Melham said he remembers driving back up the Garden State Parkway on Thursday, Nov. 21 and feeling awful, but writing it off as a mix of exhaustion and dehydration from the three-day event. Melham thought a good night's rest would be all he needed. But Friday and Saturday of that week were no better. By Sunday night, Melham was awake all night, battling chills, hallucinations and a skyrocketing temperature. "I felt as if I was an addict going through withdrawal," he recalled. "I didn't know what was happening to me. I never felt that I could be so sick." Melham's doctor assumed that it was a case of the flu and told him that he'd recover with a few days of rest. But despite eventually getting better, the experience continued to stick out in his mind. And when COVID-19 began to break out in large numbers across New Jersey, it raised a serious red flag.
COVID-19 infected as many as 171 people in Florida as long as two months before officials announced it had come to the state, a Palm Beach Post analysis of state records shows. It includes a 4-year-old Duval County girl started feeling symptoms or had her first positive test on Jan. 1, and the state did not officially record her case until April 8. Another is a 65-year-old man in Broward County who had traveled to the Cayman Islands listed symptoms or a positive test on Jan. 4, but his case was not recorded until March 7. Among the 171 patients were 105 women and 66 men. They ranged in age from 4 to 91. Most of the early patients hadn’t traveled: 103 reported no travel while just 52 said they had. None reported traveling to China.
May 15: Trump said "Scientists at the NIH began developing the first vaccine candidate on January 11th." How? Before the first reported case?
May 18: Brian Hitchens, a rideshare driver who lives in Jupiter, Florida, downplayed the seriousness of the coronavirus in Facebook posts in March and April. He thought the coronavirus was "a fake crisis" but has changed his mind after he and his wife contracted COVID-19. Hitchens is not alone, you can count Trump in. This is what Trump land has been thinking until now, how can one blame anyone else but oneself, let alone China for what happened in December or January?
May 21: Sweden's herd immunity did not work, only 7.3% population has antibodies by now. This also shows the virus does not spread as fast through the air as previously thought.
May 22: Trump like UK, Brazil, Mexico and Russia all out of control. None could blame China but US and Europe.
May 23: Trump undid everything Obama did, eliminated the position to lead epidemic preparedness for NSC 18 months before Covid19 onslaught. God works in a mysterious but sure way.
June 3: various reports in addition to Sweden practising Herd Immunity, at least US and UK did as well. Boris told Italian PM, and stopped only after himself almost died from it. Trump abandoned somehow in late March.
June 12: Rebekah Jones, who was fired for not taking order to manipulate the data, has created FloridaCOVIDAction.com, which shows for more cases and deaths than official numbers. In addition, a major fraud (Trump included) was committed by using number of tests instead of people as the denominator in calculating % confirmed or deaths of tested, which deflated by at least 30% in order to prove the case for reopening.
June 13: Scripps Florida found mutation D614G stabilized the Spike Protein, which has been spreading in Europe and US.
June 18: Italian Milan and Turin had coronavirus before Dec 18 last year as tests of waste water collected on that day show, and patients hospitalized in France showed biological traces of the virus as early as December last year.
June 23: Judge in Brazil ordered Bolsonaro to wear a mask in public
June 25: now we know when Trump admin was pushing the Wuhan Biolab conspiracy hard in April they learned its NIH EcoHealth Alliances was collaborating with Wuhan lab, then quietly forced NIH to cancel the grant and collaboration.
June 27: University of Barcelona found coronavirus in sewage back in March 2019!
July 3: clearly out of control US is having boomerang 2nd or 3rd wave now.
July 5: non-peer-reviewed studies indicate a stretch of DNA linked to COVID-19, which is common in Bangladesh and South Asia, was passed down from Neanderthals 60,000 years ago.
Tom Jefferson from Oxford: coronavirus may have lain dormant across the world and emerged when environmental conditions were right for it to thrive - rather than starting in China.
July 29, David Robertson of the University of Glasgow research found the virus crossed to humans from bats directly without an intermediary host, and it has been around at least 40-70 years! Reports said Indian slums have over 50% herd immunity exposure, which Sweden never achieved, this means the virus probably has been in India much longer than reported. Same studies should be done in Vietnam, Laos etc, suspicion that they have had it for years or decades.
Sept 10: LA study indicates the virus was in California in December or earlier, before Wuhan was known, as excess patients were treated as flu - no good specialist like the one in Wuhan to spot the difference then.
Sept 22: two studies indicate the virus can spread during long haul flights. One from Boston to Hong Kong with 4 infected and the other from London to Hanoi with one woman infecting 15 others. I stated the case almost 5 months ago! It was obvious.
Sept 23: civil law suits filed Austrian ski resorts, such as Ischgl, were active breeding ground for the virus since at least February, responsible for over 6000 cases in Europe!
Nov 15: study by the National Cancer Institute (INT) of the Italian city of Milan shows coronavirus was already in Italy by Sept 2019!
Dec 1: US CDC own researchers confirmed coronavirus antibodies in bood donors before Dec 13, 2019.

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